Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Hofstra Pride
79 – 43
FINAL Conference
Hampton Pirates
Coastal Athletic Association · David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex · February 20, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread HOF -11.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money HOF -650 / HAMP +470
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOF win
Actual HOF +36 122 Won
Massey HOF -12.7 (+23.3) — —
Massey Totals — 138.4 (-16.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HOF -12.1 (+23.9) 134.5 (-12.5) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HOF -9.7 (+26.3) 134.0 (-12.0) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HOF -11.9 (+24.1) 133.6 (-11.6) 88% ✓
Baseline ML HOF -12.0 (+24.0) 133.5 (-11.5) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2025 HAMP 67 – 49 HOF
Feb 9, 2024 HOF 63 – 59 HAMP
Jan 19, 2024 HOF 86 – 77 HAMP
Feb 17, 2023 HOF 73 – 43 HAMP
Jan 6, 2023 HOF 67 – 51 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOF HAMP
Overall 24-11 13-19
Conference 12-6 7-11
Home 10-2 10-2
Away 9-8 2-12
Neutral 5-1 1-5
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 74.4 68.0
Avg Pts Against 68.2 72.1
Massey 4.3 (#109) -5.4 (#256)
Bradley-Terry 0.59 (#109) -0.97 (#255)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.83 (#102) -1.34 (#266)
RPI 0.556 (#72) 0.455 (#261)
Shooting & Four Factors HOF HAMP
FG% 43.2% 40.6%
3PT% 37.2% 29.3%
REB / G 38.0 35.5
OREB / G 12.2 12.2
AST / TO 1.18 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 45.9%
TOV% 16.3% 17.7%
ORB% 34.7% 33.6%
FT Rate 24.3% 29.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 17.6%
DRB% 69.4% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.5% 31.0%

Game Analysis

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