Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -650 HAMP +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +36 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -12.7 (+23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -9.7 (+26.3) | 134.0 (-12.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -11.9 (+24.1) | 133.6 (-11.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -12.0 (+24.0) | 133.5 (-11.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -12.1 (+23.9) | 134.5 (-12.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | HAMP 67 – 49 HOF |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HOF 63 – 59 HAMP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | HOF 86 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | HOF 73 – 43 HAMP |
| Jan 6, 2023 | HOF 67 – 51 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 9-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#109) | -5.4 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#109) | -0.97 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#102) | -1.34 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#72) | 0.455 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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