Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | LBSU -160 HAW +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -3.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -2.3 (+5.7) | 144.6 (+5.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -2.0 (+6.0) | 142.8 (+7.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -2.2 (+5.8) | 144.1 (+5.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -2.7 (+5.3) | 144.9 (+5.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#176) | -0.0 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#142) | -0.17 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#160) | -0.13 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#158) | 0.473 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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