Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +300 HAW -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -9.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -8.2 (+1.2) | 145.4 (+25.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -7.8 (+0.8) | 142.5 (+28.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -7.4 (+0.4) | 142.0 (+29.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -8.5 (+1.5) | 143.4 (+27.6) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 71 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 16-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#245) | 6.9 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#259) | 0.68 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#241) | 0.80 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#291) | 0.513 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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