Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | HAW -1350 LBSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +9 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -13.8 (-22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -12.3 (-21.3) | 149.3 (+9.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -11.0 (-20.0) | 149.5 (+9.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -12.6 (-21.6) | 146.6 (+12.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -12.3 (-21.3) | 147.4 (+11.6) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 71 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 16-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#105) | -6.0 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#96) | -1.40 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#112) | -1.51 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#120) | 0.420 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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