Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | HAW -160 LBSU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -3.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -1.9 (+6.1) | 152.9 (-14.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -1.7 (+6.3) | 148.7 (-10.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -2.1 (+5.9) | 150.4 (-12.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -2.1 (+5.9) | 153.4 (-15.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 71 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#165) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#187) | 0.51 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#174) | 0.47 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#225) | 0.517 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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