Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -650 LBSU +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -11.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -9.8 (-7.8) | 138.4 (-16.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -8.7 (-6.7) | 136.9 (-14.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -9.6 (-7.6) | 139.3 (-17.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -9.4 (-7.4) | 139.9 (-17.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 71 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-7 | 3-11 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | -9.6 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#190) | -1.62 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#191) | -1.84 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#215) | 0.433 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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