Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +210 HAW -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -4.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -3.8 (+11.8) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -3.9 (+11.9) | 132.8 (+11.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -2.9 (+10.9) | 133.1 (+10.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -2.9 (+10.9) | 133.6 (+10.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 71 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-13 |
| Home | 3-11 | 13-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#335) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#345) | -0.09 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#334) | -0.21 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#329) | 0.486 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 35.8% |
Game Analysis
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