You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Pac-12 Conference · Maples Pavilion · January 19, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread STAN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money STAN -175 / WSU +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total STAN win
Actual WSU +14 164 Lost
Massey STAN -0.2 (-14.2)
Massey Totals 147.8 (+16.2)
Bradley-Terry 49%
Weighted B-T 50%
Efficiency Plus ML STAN -0.2 (-14.2) 147.0 (+17.0) 46%
Baseline Tuned ML STAN -0.4 (-14.4) 145.2 (+18.8) 54%
Baseline ML STAN -0.8 (-14.8) 147.2 (+16.8) 52%
Baseline Plus ML STAN -0.9 (-14.9) 146.4 (+17.6) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2024 WSU 7962 STAN
Feb 17, 2024 WSU 7259 STAN
Feb 24, 2023 WSU 6763 STAN
Jan 15, 2023 WSU 6059 STAN
Feb 4, 2022 WSU 6660 STAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STAN WSU
Overall 14-18 25-10
Conference 8-12 14-6
Home 10-6 15-2
Away 3-8 6-4
Neutral 1-4 4-4
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.3 73.5
Avg Pts Against 76.5 66.7
Massey 6.2 (#92) 9.7 (#52)
Bradley-Terry 0.83 (#108) 1.59 (#62)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.16 (#107) 1.91 (#71)
RPI 0.540 (#113) 0.575 (#61)
Shooting & Four Factors STAN WSU
FG% 47.9% 47.3%
3PT% 38.6% 33.5%
REB / G 35.6 38.2
OREB / G 7.7 10.6
AST / TO 1.42 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.7% 52.6%
TOV% 17.5% 16.1%
ORB% 23.1% 31.6%
FT Rate 20.0% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 44.8%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 15.9%
DRB% 73.4% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 16.4% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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