They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Pac-12 Conference · Maples Pavilion · February 24, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread STAN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money STAN -163 / WSU +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total STAN win
Actual WSU +4 130 Lost
Massey STAN -0.9 (-4.9)
Massey Totals 132.9 (-2.9)
Bradley-Terry 48%
Weighted B-T 47%
Efficiency Plus ML STAN -0.5 (-4.5) 134.0 (-4.0) 53%
Baseline Tuned ML STAN -0.8 (-4.8) 137.7 (-7.7) 52%
Baseline ML STAN -0.5 (-4.5) 138.3 (-8.3) 47%
Baseline Plus ML STAN -0.8 (-4.8) 136.1 (-6.1) 48%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2024 WSU 7962 STAN
Feb 17, 2024 WSU 7259 STAN
Jan 19, 2024 WSU 8975 STAN
Jan 15, 2023 WSU 6059 STAN
Feb 4, 2022 WSU 6660 STAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STAN WSU
Overall 14-19 17-17
Conference 7-13 11-9
Home 9-6 10-4
Away 2-8 4-8
Neutral 3-5 3-5
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.3 68.4
Avg Pts Against 68.4 65.7
Massey 5.8 (#90) 8.6 (#63)
Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#170) 0.73 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.31 (#149) 1.17 (#95)
RPI 0.472 (#238) 0.525 (#129)
Shooting & Four Factors STAN WSU
FG% 44.6% 42.1%
3PT% 34.2% 36.3%
REB / G 35.0 34.7
OREB / G 10.8 11.0
AST / TO 1.09 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 49.9%
TOV% 19.6% 18.9%
ORB% 32.2% 31.6%
FT Rate 20.5% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 17.0%
DRB% 74.1% 73.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 19.4%

Game Analysis

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