This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Pac-12 Conference · Maples Pavilion · February 24, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread STAN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money STAN -163 / WSU +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total STAN win
Actual WSU +4 130 Lost
Massey STAN -0.9 (-4.9) — —
Massey Totals — 132.9 (-2.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 47% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ STAN -0.5 (-4.5) 134.0 (-4.0) 53% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML STAN -0.8 (-4.8) 137.7 (-7.7) 52% ✗
Baseline ML STAN -0.5 (-4.5) 138.3 (-8.3) 47% ✓
Baseline Plus ML STAN -0.8 (-4.8) 136.1 (-6.1) 48% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2024 WSU 79 – 62 STAN
Feb 17, 2024 WSU 72 – 59 STAN
Jan 19, 2024 WSU 89 – 75 STAN
Jan 15, 2023 WSU 60 – 59 STAN
Feb 4, 2022 WSU 66 – 60 STAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STAN WSU
Overall 14-19 17-17
Conference 7-13 11-9
Home 9-6 10-4
Away 2-8 4-8
Neutral 3-5 3-5
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.3 68.4
Avg Pts Against 68.4 65.7
Massey 5.8 (#90) 8.6 (#63)
Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#170) 0.73 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.31 (#149) 1.17 (#95)
RPI 0.472 (#238) 0.525 (#129)
Shooting & Four Factors STAN WSU
FG% 44.6% 42.1%
3PT% 34.2% 36.3%
REB / G 35.0 34.7
OREB / G 10.8 11.0
AST / TO 1.09 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 49.9%
TOV% 19.6% 18.9%
ORB% 32.2% 31.6%
FT Rate 20.5% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 17.0%
DRB% 74.1% 73.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 19.4%

Game Analysis

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