Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Pac-12 Conference · Maples Pavilion · February 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -3.0 Away covered
O/U 132.0 Under
Money STAN +130 / WSU -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total STAN win
Actual WSU +6 126 Lost
Massey WSU -3.6 (-2.4)
Massey Totals 131.8 (-5.8)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 81%
Efficiency Plus ML WSU -1.1 (-4.9) 132.0 (-6.0) 47%
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -0.8 (-5.2) 133.9 (-7.9) 48%
Baseline ML WSU -0.9 (-5.1) 133.3 (-7.3) 51%
Baseline Plus ML WSU -0.9 (-5.1) 135.4 (-9.4) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2024 WSU 7962 STAN
Feb 17, 2024 WSU 7259 STAN
Jan 19, 2024 WSU 8975 STAN
Feb 24, 2023 WSU 6763 STAN
Jan 15, 2023 WSU 6059 STAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STAN WSU
Overall 16-16 22-15
Conference 8-12 11-9
Home 10-5 13-7
Away 3-9 8-5
Neutral 3-2 1-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.4 71.5
Avg Pts Against 68.7 64.9
Massey 4.8 (#105) 11.7 (#28)
Bradley-Terry 2.12 (#37) 1.01 (#99)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.40 (#47) 1.57 (#86)
RPI 0.600 (#33) 0.546 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors STAN WSU
FG% 42.8% 42.5%
3PT% 34.1% 33.6%
REB / G 37.5 38.7
OREB / G 11.6 12.9
AST / TO 0.84 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.9%
TOV% 22.6% 17.9%
ORB% 33.9% 36.0%
FT Rate 24.3% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 45.0%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 21.3%
DRB% 78.0% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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