We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Pac-12 Conference · Maples Pavilion · February 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -3.0 Away covered
O/U 132.0 Under
Money STAN +130 / WSU -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total STAN win
Actual WSU +6 126 Lost
Massey WSU -3.6 (-2.4) — —
Massey Totals — 131.8 (-5.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 81% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -1.1 (-4.9) 132.0 (-6.0) 47% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -0.8 (-5.2) 133.9 (-7.9) 48% ✓
Baseline ML WSU -0.9 (-5.1) 133.3 (-7.3) 51% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WSU -0.9 (-5.1) 135.4 (-9.4) 52% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2024 WSU 79 – 62 STAN
Feb 17, 2024 WSU 72 – 59 STAN
Jan 19, 2024 WSU 89 – 75 STAN
Feb 24, 2023 WSU 67 – 63 STAN
Jan 15, 2023 WSU 60 – 59 STAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STAN WSU
Overall 16-16 22-15
Conference 8-12 11-9
Home 10-5 13-7
Away 3-9 8-5
Neutral 3-2 1-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.4 71.5
Avg Pts Against 68.7 64.9
Massey 4.8 (#105) 11.7 (#28)
Bradley-Terry 2.12 (#37) 1.01 (#99)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.40 (#47) 1.57 (#86)
RPI 0.600 (#33) 0.546 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors STAN WSU
FG% 42.8% 42.5%
3PT% 34.1% 33.6%
REB / G 37.5 38.7
OREB / G 11.6 12.9
AST / TO 0.84 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.9%
TOV% 22.6% 17.9%
ORB% 33.9% 36.0%
FT Rate 24.3% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 45.0%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 21.3%
DRB% 78.0% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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