Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | APSU -150 UNA +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -5.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -2.7 (+0.3) | 139.8 (+23.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -4.4 (-1.4) | 141.1 (+21.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -4.6 (-1.6) | 142.1 (+20.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -4.8 (-1.8) | 143.3 (+19.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | APSU 91 – 62 UNA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNA 90 – 64 APSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 APSU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UNA 88 – 84 APSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | APSU 77 – 71 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#230) | -5.4 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#237) | -1.67 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#246) | -1.88 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#217) | 0.428 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.