Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -1200 UVU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -15.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -12.2 (+0.8) | 139.3 (+3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -14.4 (-1.4) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -13.5 (-0.5) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -14.0 (-1.0) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2025 | GCU 89 – 82 UVU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | GCU 75 – 57 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UVU 72 – 64 GCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GCU 86 – 67 UVU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UVU 76 – 74 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#57) | -2.0 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#9) | -0.13 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#8) | -0.20 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#27) | 0.489 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.4% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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