Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UVU +195 GCU -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -1.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -2.8 (-4.2) | 145.4 (+25.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -1.5 (-5.5) | 142.3 (+28.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -1.9 (-5.1) | 143.7 (+27.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -1.0 (-6.0) | 144.7 (+26.3) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2025 | GCU 75 – 57 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UVU 72 – 64 GCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GCU 86 – 67 UVU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GCU 78 – 65 UVU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UVU 76 – 74 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Home | 12-0 | 16-1 |
| Away | 10-7 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#105) | 5.4 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#88) | 1.02 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#107) | 1.13 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#57) | 0.546 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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