Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -120 UVU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -2.4 (-4.4) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -1.5 (-3.5) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -1.1 (-3.1) | 143.9 (+6.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -1.3 (-3.3) | 144.1 (+5.9) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2025 | GCU 89 – 82 UVU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | GCU 75 – 57 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UVU 72 – 64 GCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GCU 86 – 67 UVU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GCU 78 – 65 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#101) | 6.6 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#107) | 1.51 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#108) | 2.24 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#106) | 0.568 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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