Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -150 WKU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -3.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -2.1 (+4.1) | 141.1 (+0.9) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.7 (+4.7) | 141.7 (+0.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.5 (+4.5) | 141.9 (+0.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -3.5 (+5.5) | 145.6 (-3.6) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WKU 93 – 70 NMSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NMSU 80 – 64 WKU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NMSU 65 – 47 WKU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WKU 101 – 69 NMSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 89 – 69 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#279) | 1.0 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#277) | 0.83 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#259) | 0.73 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#278) | 0.537 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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