Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -135 WKU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -3.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -3.0 (+13.0) | 154.6 (-10.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -2.7 (+13.3) | 149.7 (-5.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -2.5 (+13.5) | 149.0 (-5.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -2.5 (+13.5) | 150.2 (-6.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WKU 93 – 70 NMSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NMSU 65 – 47 WKU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WKU 101 – 69 NMSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 89 – 69 NMSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WKU 72 – 58 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#147) | 2.0 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#147) | 0.46 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#136) | 0.51 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#124) | 0.521 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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