Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -155 NMSU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +32 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -3.6 (+28.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -3.0 (+29.0) | 142.5 (+27.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.7 (+29.3) | 137.5 (+32.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.6 (+29.4) | 137.9 (+32.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.3 (+29.7) | 141.2 (+28.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WKU 93 – 70 NMSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NMSU 80 – 64 WKU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NMSU 65 – 47 WKU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 89 – 69 NMSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WKU 72 – 58 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#140) | 0.9 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#120) | 0.21 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#141) | 0.44 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#100) | 0.512 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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