Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -250 NMSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +20 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -8.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -6.7 (+13.3) | 146.9 (+11.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -5.8 (+14.2) | 145.1 (+12.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -6.6 (+13.4) | 143.9 (+14.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -6.3 (+13.7) | 144.1 (+13.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WKU 93 – 70 NMSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NMSU 80 – 64 WKU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NMSU 65 – 47 WKU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WKU 101 – 69 NMSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WKU 72 – 58 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#153) | -7.2 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#156) | -0.67 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#148) | -0.82 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#152) | 0.458 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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