Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -450 NMSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -11.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -10.2 (+3.8) | 149.2 (-19.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -8.5 (+5.5) | 148.0 (-18.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -10.5 (+3.5) | 145.9 (-15.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -10.1 (+3.9) | 145.7 (-15.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WKU 93 – 70 NMSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NMSU 80 – 64 WKU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NMSU 65 – 47 WKU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WKU 101 – 69 NMSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 89 – 69 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#138) | -6.2 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#127) | -0.60 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#131) | -0.72 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.461 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.