Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -175 WKU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +18 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -2.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -2.8 (+15.2) | 141.0 (-29.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -1.1 (+16.9) | 139.3 (-27.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -3.0 (+15.0) | 136.9 (-24.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -2.7 (+15.3) | 138.8 (-26.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WKU 93 – 70 NMSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NMSU 80 – 64 WKU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WKU 101 – 69 NMSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 89 – 69 NMSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WKU 72 – 58 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#147) | 1.5 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#157) | 0.55 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#144) | 0.37 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#179) | 0.536 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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