They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · January 19, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -5.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money WEB -225 / EWU +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual EWU +2 158 Lost
Massey WEB -6.4 (-8.4) — —
Massey Totals — 146.7 (+11.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -3.5 (-5.5) 143.1 (+14.9) 56% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -4.9 (-6.9) 145.5 (+12.5) 68% ✗
Baseline ML WEB -5.2 (-7.2) 148.0 (+10.0) 59% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WEB -5.1 (-7.1) 145.3 (+12.7) 61% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 EWU 84 – 79 WEB
Feb 14, 2026 EWU 84 – 66 WEB
Jan 16, 2026 WEB 91 – 80 EWU
Feb 28, 2025 WEB 66 – 64 EWU
Feb 1, 2025 EWU 72 – 49 WEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB EWU
Overall 20-12 21-11
Conference 11-7 15-3
Home 12-2 11-1
Away 7-7 10-9
Neutral 1-3 0-1
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.1 79.5
Avg Pts Against 69.5 77.6
Massey 5.4 (#98) 2.8 (#128)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#136) 0.65 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.03 (#114) 0.71 (#129)
RPI 0.521 (#137) 0.543 (#105)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB EWU
FG% 45.3% 47.1%
3PT% 35.5% 39.0%
REB / G 31.6 31.9
OREB / G 8.0 8.1
AST / TO 1.21 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 55.9%
TOV% 14.8% 19.6%
ORB% 24.8% 25.6%
FT Rate 25.3% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 17.2%
DRB% 76.1% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 16.0% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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