I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · February 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money EWU -165 / WEB +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual WEB +2 130 Lost
Massey EWU -5.6 (-7.6) — —
Massey Totals — 143.3 (-13.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✗
Baseline Plus ML EWU -4.0 (-6.0) 140.9 (-10.9) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -3.6 (-5.6) 137.5 (-7.5) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -4.1 (-6.1) 139.4 (-9.4) 65% ✗
Baseline ML EWU -3.9 (-5.9) 140.7 (-10.7) 67% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 EWU 84 – 79 WEB
Feb 14, 2026 EWU 84 – 66 WEB
Jan 16, 2026 WEB 91 – 80 EWU
Feb 1, 2025 EWU 72 – 49 WEB
Feb 17, 2024 WEB 90 – 84 EWU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU WEB
Overall 10-22 12-22
Conference 6-12 5-13
Home 8-6 5-10
Away 2-14 4-11
Neutral 0-2 3-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 67.9
Avg Pts Against 76.3 74.4
Massey -5.7 (#259) -8.2 (#295)
Bradley-Terry -1.27 (#287) -1.66 (#319)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.48 (#278) -2.00 (#308)
RPI 0.428 (#314) 0.429 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU WEB
FG% 45.0% 44.3%
3PT% 32.3% 32.8%
REB / G 29.9 31.5
OREB / G 8.8 8.3
AST / TO 1.04 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 50.4%
TOV% 18.4% 17.4%
ORB% 27.5% 25.1%
FT Rate 23.9% 23.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.8% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 16.0%
DRB% 66.5% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.7% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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