We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · February 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money EWU -165 / WEB +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual WEB +2 130 Lost
Massey EWU -5.6 (-7.6)
Massey Totals 143.3 (-13.3)
Bradley-Terry 72%
Weighted B-T 76%
Efficiency Plus ML EWU -3.6 (-5.6) 137.5 (-7.5) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -4.1 (-6.1) 139.4 (-9.4) 65%
Baseline ML EWU -3.9 (-5.9) 140.7 (-10.7) 67%
Baseline Plus ML EWU -4.0 (-6.0) 140.9 (-10.9) 65%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 EWU 8479 WEB
Feb 14, 2026 EWU 8466 WEB
Jan 16, 2026 WEB 9180 EWU
Feb 1, 2025 EWU 7249 WEB
Feb 17, 2024 WEB 9084 EWU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU WEB
Overall 10-22 12-22
Conference 6-12 5-13
Home 8-6 5-10
Away 2-14 4-11
Neutral 0-2 3-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 67.9
Avg Pts Against 76.3 74.4
Massey -5.7 (#259) -8.2 (#295)
Bradley-Terry -1.27 (#287) -1.66 (#319)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.48 (#278) -2.00 (#308)
RPI 0.428 (#314) 0.429 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU WEB
FG% 45.0% 44.3%
3PT% 32.3% 32.8%
REB / G 29.9 31.5
OREB / G 8.8 8.3
AST / TO 1.04 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 50.4%
TOV% 18.4% 17.4%
ORB% 27.5% 25.1%
FT Rate 23.9% 23.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.8% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 16.0%
DRB% 66.5% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.7% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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