Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -166 WEB +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -0.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -1.7 (+3.3) | 150.8 (+12.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -1.2 (+3.8) | 153.1 (+9.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -1.6 (+3.4) | 153.6 (+9.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -1.6 (+3.4) | 153.3 (+9.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 WEB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | WEB 91 – 80 EWU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WEB 66 – 64 EWU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EWU 72 – 49 WEB |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WEB 90 – 84 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#174) | -1.6 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#232) | -0.52 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#216) | -0.49 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#247) | 0.480 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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