Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -185 EWU +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +11 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -9.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -7.2 (+3.8) | 157.3 (+13.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -8.9 (+2.1) | 155.0 (+16.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -8.4 (+2.6) | 156.8 (+14.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -8.8 (+2.2) | 157.3 (+13.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | EWU 84 – 79 WEB |
| Feb 14, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 WEB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WEB 66 – 64 EWU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EWU 72 – 49 WEB |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WEB 90 – 84 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#155) | -5.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#205) | -1.92 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#181) | -2.62 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#215) | 0.400 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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