I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · February 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money EWU -162 / WEB +136
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual EWU +18 150 Won
Massey EWU -1.6 (+16.4)
Massey Totals 164.4 (-14.4)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 52%
Efficiency Plus ML EWU -1.3 (+16.7) 154.2 (-4.2) 59%
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -1.4 (+16.6) 154.9 (-4.9) 59%
Baseline ML EWU -0.7 (+17.3) 157.3 (-7.3) 64%
Baseline Plus ML EWU -0.6 (+17.4) 156.8 (-6.8) 59%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 EWU 8479 WEB
Jan 16, 2026 WEB 9180 EWU
Feb 28, 2025 WEB 6664 EWU
Feb 1, 2025 EWU 7249 WEB
Feb 17, 2024 WEB 9084 EWU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU WEB
Overall 14-19 16-16
Conference 11-7 10-8
Home 8-4 11-5
Away 5-13 5-10
Neutral 1-2 0-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 77.7 78.8
Avg Pts Against 79.2 79.1
Massey -2.8 (#213) -1.4 (#187)
Bradley-Terry -0.98 (#255) -0.66 (#228)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.11 (#246) -0.62 (#216)
RPI 0.444 (#281) 0.464 (#245)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU WEB
FG% 45.8% 45.8%
3PT% 35.8% 35.7%
REB / G 31.5 35.8
OREB / G 10.5 11.5
AST / TO 1.00 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 51.7%
TOV% 17.9% 15.9%
ORB% 31.3% 32.2%
FT Rate 25.6% 29.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.0% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 16.7%
DRB% 67.6% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.9% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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