Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -162 WEB +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +18 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -1.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -0.6 (+17.4) | 156.8 (-6.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -1.3 (+16.7) | 154.2 (-4.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -1.4 (+16.6) | 154.9 (-4.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -0.7 (+17.3) | 157.3 (-7.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | EWU 84 – 79 WEB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | WEB 91 – 80 EWU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WEB 66 – 64 EWU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EWU 72 – 49 WEB |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WEB 90 – 84 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#213) | -1.4 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#255) | -0.66 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#246) | -0.62 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#281) | 0.464 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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