Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money EWU -188 / WEB +200
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual WEB +6 174 Lost
Massey EWU -3.2 (-9.2) — —
Massey Totals — 149.2 (+24.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 72% ✗
Baseline Plus ML EWU -2.2 (-8.2) 145.1 (+28.9) 56% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -3.2 (-9.2) 142.1 (+31.9) 68% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -3.3 (-9.3) 145.3 (+28.7) 68% ✗
Baseline ML EWU -3.2 (-9.2) 146.5 (+27.5) 64% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 EWU 84 – 79 WEB
Feb 14, 2026 EWU 84 – 66 WEB
Jan 16, 2026 WEB 91 – 80 EWU
Feb 28, 2025 WEB 66 – 64 EWU
Feb 1, 2025 EWU 72 – 49 WEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU WEB
Overall 21-11 20-12
Conference 15-3 11-7
Home 11-1 12-2
Away 10-9 7-7
Neutral 0-1 1-3
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 79.5 73.1
Avg Pts Against 77.6 69.5
Massey 2.7 (#130) 2.9 (#127)
Bradley-Terry 1.02 (#99) 0.48 (#131)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.97 (#116) 0.73 (#127)
RPI 0.554 (#91) 0.527 (#128)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU WEB
FG% 48.9% 46.0%
3PT% 38.2% 34.0%
REB / G 33.7 30.5
OREB / G 8.0 7.5
AST / TO 1.18 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.0% 52.7%
TOV% 20.0% 14.9%
ORB% 26.4% 23.4%
FT Rate 28.9% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 18.4%
DRB% 73.5% 76.0%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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