Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | NAU +180 PRST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -5.8 (+24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.8 (+23.8) | 140.0 (+9.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -4.7 (+23.7) | 139.8 (+9.2) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -5.2 (+24.2) | 141.4 (+7.6) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.3 (+23.3) | 141.0 (+8.0) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#338) | -2.7 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#228) | 0.23 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#273) | -0.03 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#204) | 0.506 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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