Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NAU +270 PRST -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -8.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -8.3 (-0.7) | 137.2 (+7.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -7.4 (-1.6) | 135.9 (+9.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -7.9 (-1.1) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -7.3 (-1.7) | 135.9 (+9.1) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | NAU 84 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#298) | 2.3 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#303) | 0.61 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#295) | 0.68 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#341) | 0.524 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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