Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -230 NAU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +12 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -5.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-41.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.4 (+7.6) | 145.7 (-41.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -3.9 (+8.1) | 142.8 (-38.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -4.2 (+7.8) | 145.1 (-41.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -4.2 (+7.8) | 145.7 (-41.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | NAU 84 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#212) | -4.7 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#220) | -0.91 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#207) | -1.15 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#238) | 0.440 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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