Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NAU -170 PRST +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +11 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | NAU -3.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -1.9 (-12.9) | 140.3 (+8.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -0.1 (-11.1) | 139.7 (+9.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -1.6 (-12.6) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -1.8 (-12.8) | 139.7 (+9.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | NAU 84 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#236) | -4.1 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#253) | -0.48 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#260) | -0.46 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#297) | 0.456 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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