Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -250 NAU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -8.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -5.6 (+9.4) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -5.5 (+9.5) | 144.1 (+6.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -5.7 (+9.3) | 141.2 (+9.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -5.3 (+9.7) | 142.8 (+8.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | NAU 84 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#245) | -9.1 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#173) | -0.48 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#193) | -0.88 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#189) | 0.484 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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