Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -750 NAU +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -13.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -11.4 (-0.4) | 143.2 (-28.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -10.2 (+0.8) | 139.6 (-24.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -11.2 (-0.2) | 140.7 (-25.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -12.0 (-1.0) | 141.3 (-26.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | NAU 84 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#136) | -8.4 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#109) | -2.00 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#113) | -2.41 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#110) | 0.369 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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