Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -138 CCU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -0.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -0.7 (+2.3) | 148.8 (-5.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -0.5 (+2.5) | 147.9 (-4.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -0.6 (+2.4) | 148.7 (-5.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -0.7 (+2.3) | 151.1 (-8.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-11 |
| Away | 2-14 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#327) | -8.2 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#338) | -1.94 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#330) | -2.28 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#346) | 0.387 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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