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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 8.8 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Creighton @ UConn +5.4 138.2 76% 48–62 ✓
Mississippi State @ Kentucky +5.5 156.2 74% 77–90 ✓
Ole Miss @ LSU +1.8 149.0 65% 80–89 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Virginia +2.1 121.8 63% 57–65 ✓
Florida State @ Miami +9.0 157.7 77% 84–75 ✗
North Texas @ East Carolina -6.5 127.2 21% 60–59 ✓
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate -6.6 137.9 30% 71–73 ✗
High Point @ Presbyterian -7.3 148.8 20% 86–83 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Radford +5.2 144.2 73% 74–68 ✗
Nebraska @ Rutgers +1.4 134.3 61% 82–87 ✓
Lafayette @ Holy Cross -4.3 131.4 33% 72–68 ✓
Lehigh @ Navy +2.6 142.7 65% 69–71 ✓
Davidson @ Fordham +1.7 141.6 57% 79–69 ✗
Massachusetts @ Loyola Chicago -0.3 144.8 49% 78–79 ✗
Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure +8.7 140.5 80% 64–99 ✓
Bucknell @ Boston University +4.0 129.4 65% 73–57 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Wofford +3.3 149.8 67% 73–75 ✓
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +7.9 135.0 84% 67–73 ✓
Chattanooga @ Mercer -0.1 143.2 46% 74–60 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland +1.8 147.5 63% 67–70 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Purdue Fort Wayne +17.7 152.5 89% 85–79 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Robert Morris +9.4 139.2 85% 99–102 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma +13.4 144.9 87% 63–77 ✓
UCF @ Texas +5.1 138.6 73% 77–71 ✗
Tulane @ UAB -0.5 162.0 62% 69–83 ✗
UTSA @ Tulsa +5.9 161.1 75% 78–107 ✓
Murray State @ UIC +0.6 133.1 48% 73–58 ✗
Bradley @ Southern Illinois +1.4 134.1 48% 70–69 ✗
Drake @ Illinois State -9.3 135.8 20% 77–56 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville +6.1 142.4 76% 75–78 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State -0.1 136.3 44% 86–68 ✓
Arkansas State @ Southern Miss +1.7 149.4 67% 66–69 ✓
Louisville @ North Carolina +21.3 156.5 91% 70–86 ✓
Texas Tech @ Houston +13.2 129.1 85% 54–77 ✓
Auburn @ Vanderbilt -13.4 143.1 16% 80–65 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona State +4.7 134.5 57% 68–66 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Belmont +1.1 146.1 53% 83–72 ✗
Maryland @ Northwestern +4.1 132.8 71% 69–72 ✓
Providence @ DePaul -12.5 139.0 15% 100–62 ✓
USC @ Arizona +16.2 159.9 90% 67–82 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +6.0 139.2 80% 59–71 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -6.2 138.1 28% 82–62 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +13.5 142.4 87% 66–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.