Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | BU -175 BUCK +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -5.7 (-21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -3.2 (-19.2) | 129.5 (+0.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -4.0 (-20.0) | 129.4 (+0.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -3.4 (-19.4) | 130.4 (-0.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -3.8 (-19.8) | 130.4 (-0.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BU 82 – 69 BUCK |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BUCK 103 – 97 BU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 60 BU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BU 85 – 82 BUCK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BU 77 – 62 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#268) | -7.3 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#275) | -1.42 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#260) | -1.65 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#301) | 0.436 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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