Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -110 BU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +6 | 200 | Won |
| Massey | BU -1.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+54.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -0.9 (+6.9) | 141.8 (+58.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -0.6 (+5.4) | 141.6 (+58.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -0.2 (+6.2) | 142.1 (+57.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -0.5 (+6.5) | 144.8 (+55.2) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BU 82 – 69 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 60 BU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BU 85 – 82 BUCK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BU 77 – 62 BUCK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | BUCK 73 – 57 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#331) | -7.4 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#336) | -1.86 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#325) | -2.55 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#320) | 0.406 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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