Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Patriot League · Sojka Pavilion · February 13, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BUCK -5.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money BUCK -240 / BU +200
Model Predictions
Spread Total BUCK win
Actual BUCK +16 136 Won
Massey BUCK -6.5 (+9.5)
Massey Totals 136.3 (-0.3)
Bradley-Terry 68%
Weighted B-T 75%
Baseline Plus ML BUCK -4.3 (+11.7) 136.0 (-0.0) 70%
Model 4 ML BUCK -3.4 (+12.6) 136.6 (-0.6) 70%
Model 3 ML BUCK -4.8 (+11.2) 138.3 (-2.3) 70%
Baseline ML BUCK -4.6 (+11.4) 138.9 (-2.9) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 BU 8269 BUCK
Jan 31, 2026 BUCK 10397 BU
Jan 25, 2025 BU 8582 BUCK
Feb 10, 2024 BU 7762 BUCK
Jan 18, 2024 BUCK 7357 BU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BUCK BU
Overall 18-15 16-16
Conference 13-5 10-8
Home 12-4 12-4
Away 6-10 3-12
Neutral 0-1 1-0
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 65.6
Avg Pts Against 73.2 68.3
Massey -4.8 (#244) -8.1 (#296)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#254) -1.17 (#278)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.09 (#244) -1.54 (#281)
RPI 0.462 (#248) 0.451 (#263)
Shooting & Four Factors BUCK BU
FG% 45.2% 43.0%
3PT% 34.1% 32.4%
REB / G 33.6 34.7
OREB / G 8.6 10.8
AST / TO 0.97 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 50.0%
TOV% 19.1% 20.9%
ORB% 25.4% 32.5%
FT Rate 24.3% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 16.7%
DRB% 70.3% 76.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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