Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -240 BU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -6.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -4.8 (+11.2) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -3.4 (+12.6) | 136.6 (-0.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -4.3 (+11.7) | 136.0 (-0.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -4.6 (+11.4) | 138.9 (-2.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BU 82 – 69 BUCK |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BUCK 103 – 97 BU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BU 85 – 82 BUCK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BU 77 – 62 BUCK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | BUCK 73 – 57 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#244) | -8.1 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#254) | -1.17 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#244) | -1.54 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#248) | 0.451 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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