Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -175 BU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -5.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -4.5 (-19.5) | 129.8 (+9.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -2.3 (-17.3) | 130.4 (+8.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -3.9 (-18.9) | 131.0 (+8.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -4.4 (-19.4) | 130.7 (+8.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BU 82 – 69 BUCK |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BUCK 103 – 97 BU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 60 BU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BU 85 – 82 BUCK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | BUCK 73 – 57 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#274) | -7.8 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#291) | -1.74 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#287) | -1.91 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#271) | 0.408 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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