Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UNCG -700 CIT +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -7.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -5.4 (+0.6) | 133.2 (+6.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -7.9 (-1.9) | 135.0 (+5.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -6.1 (-0.1) | 134.2 (+5.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -6.2 (-0.2) | 134.0 (+6.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CIT 71 – 66 UNCG |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UNCG 69 – 66 CIT |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNCG 76 – 61 CIT |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UNCG 70 – 57 CIT |
| Feb 15, 2024 | UNCG 76 – 61 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#135) | -1.7 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#100) | -0.75 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#106) | -0.74 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#82) | 0.462 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.