Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | UNCG -4000 CIT +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -22.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -15.8 (-2.8) | 133.5 (-6.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -16.6 (-3.6) | 136.0 (-9.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -16.4 (-3.4) | 133.0 (-6.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -16.1 (-3.1) | 134.3 (-7.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CIT 71 – 66 UNCG |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UNCG 69 – 66 CIT |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNCG 76 – 61 CIT |
| Feb 15, 2024 | UNCG 76 – 61 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UNCG 73 – 67 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 0-18 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-12 |
| Away | 8-6 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L24 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#114) | -15.4 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#114) | -3.71 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#132) | -4.24 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#79) | 0.366 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.