Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | PRES +350 HPU -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +3 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -7.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -8.3 (+5.3) | 152.2 (+16.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -7.3 (+4.3) | 148.8 (+20.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -8.0 (+5.0) | 151.2 (+17.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -7.3 (+4.3) | 152.8 (+16.2) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | HPU 79 – 73 PRES |
| Jan 30, 2026 | HPU 84 – 81 PRES |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HPU 84 – 72 PRES |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HPU 77 – 66 PRES |
| Feb 4, 2024 | HPU 78 – 68 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-7 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 82.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#299) | 3.3 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#306) | 1.07 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#302) | 1.74 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#332) | 0.540 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 35.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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