Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -1800 PRES +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -13.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -13.3 (-2.3) | 146.2 (-3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -13.1 (-2.1) | 143.6 (-0.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -12.9 (-1.9) | 147.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -12.9 (-1.9) | 146.8 (-3.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | HPU 79 – 73 PRES |
| Jan 30, 2026 | HPU 84 – 81 PRES |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HPU 84 – 72 PRES |
| Feb 4, 2024 | HPU 78 – 68 PRES |
| Jan 18, 2024 | HPU 86 – 83 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 7-9 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#103) | -5.9 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#116) | -1.37 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#118) | -1.67 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#130) | 0.410 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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