Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -3300 PRES +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -14.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -12.5 (-2.5) | 156.8 (-10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -12.0 (-2.0) | 151.5 (-5.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -11.7 (-1.7) | 153.3 (-7.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -12.3 (-2.3) | 155.1 (-9.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | HPU 79 – 73 PRES |
| Jan 30, 2026 | HPU 84 – 81 PRES |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HPU 84 – 72 PRES |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HPU 77 – 66 PRES |
| Jan 18, 2024 | HPU 86 – 83 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#118) | -7.9 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#81) | -1.50 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#79) | -1.68 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#85) | 0.407 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 36.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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