Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PRES +400 HPU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +12 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -7.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -7.9 (-4.1) | 145.6 (+10.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -7.3 (-4.7) | 143.5 (+12.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -7.5 (-4.5) | 146.4 (+9.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -7.9 (-4.1) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | HPU 79 – 73 PRES |
| Jan 30, 2026 | HPU 84 – 81 PRES |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HPU 77 – 66 PRES |
| Feb 4, 2024 | HPU 78 – 68 PRES |
| Jan 18, 2024 | HPU 86 – 83 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Home | 8-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#260) | 4.6 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#287) | 0.77 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#285) | 0.97 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#320) | 0.537 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.