Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -1600 PRES +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -17.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -16.2 (-13.2) | 149.9 (+15.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -17.2 (-14.2) | 149.6 (+15.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -15.0 (-12.0) | 148.6 (+16.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -15.7 (-12.7) | 149.5 (+15.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | HPU 79 – 73 PRES |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HPU 84 – 72 PRES |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HPU 77 – 66 PRES |
| Feb 4, 2024 | HPU 78 – 68 PRES |
| Jan 18, 2024 | HPU 86 – 83 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 7-9 |
| Home | 17-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#76) | -6.7 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#120) | -1.10 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#127) | -1.84 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#130) | 0.449 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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