Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -167 UCLA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -6.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -4.7 (-6.7) | 134.5 (-0.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -4.8 (-6.8) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -5.3 (-7.3) | 131.2 (+2.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -5.2 (-7.2) | 134.8 (-0.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | UCLA 66 – 52 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#110) | 1.5 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#67) | -0.49 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#78) | -0.28 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#41) | 0.472 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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