Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -1100 ASU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -16.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -13.1 (+0.9) | 142.5 (-24.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -14.4 (-0.4) | 142.6 (-24.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -13.0 (+1.0) | 141.4 (-23.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -13.4 (+0.6) | 141.0 (-23.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#12) | 3.9 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#12) | 0.86 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.95 (#10) | 0.86 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#16) | 0.529 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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