All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Pauley Pavilion · February 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -13.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money UCLA -1100 / ASU +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +14 118 Won
Massey UCLA -16.4 (-2.4)
Massey Totals 136.7 (-18.7)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -13.6 (+0.4) 142.5 (-24.5) 88%
Model 4 ML UCLA -14.7 (-0.7) 142.6 (-24.6) 88%
Model 3 ML UCLA -13.9 (+0.1) 141.4 (-23.4) 88%
Baseline ML UCLA -14.4 (-0.4) 141.0 (-23.0) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 18, 2025 UCLA 9077 ASU
Mar 10, 2024 UCLA 5947 ASU
Jan 18, 2024 UCLA 6866 ASU
Mar 3, 2023 UCLA 7961 ASU
Jan 20, 2023 UCLA 7462 ASU

Game Analysis

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