Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -300 ASU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +12 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -4.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -4.9 (+7.1) | 136.1 (-30.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCLA -5.8 (+6.2) | 133.8 (-27.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCLA -4.5 (+7.5) | 133.4 (-27.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -4.9 (+7.1) | 135.4 (-29.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | UCLA 66 – 52 ASU |
Game Analysis
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