Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -300 ASU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +12 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -4.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -4.2 (+7.8) | 136.0 (-30.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -5.4 (+6.6) | 133.8 (-27.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -4.0 (+8.0) | 133.4 (-27.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -3.8 (+8.2) | 135.4 (-29.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | UCLA 66 – 52 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#103) | 3.3 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#125) | 0.79 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#119) | 0.98 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#178) | 0.528 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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