Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -550 ASU +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -7.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -7.6 (+5.4) | 145.2 (+21.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -7.2 (+5.8) | 143.7 (+23.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -6.8 (+6.2) | 144.7 (+22.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -6.8 (+6.2) | 146.2 (+20.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | UCLA 66 – 52 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#50) | 8.3 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#44) | 3.10 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#53) | 4.30 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#71) | 0.599 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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