Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +163 UCLA -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -6.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.2 (-9.8) | 138.8 (-2.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCLA -3.7 (-8.3) | 135.3 (+0.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCLA -2.6 (-9.4) | 135.5 (+0.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -2.4 (-9.6) | 136.3 (-0.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | UCLA 66 – 52 ASU |
Game Analysis
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