Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +163 UCLA -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -6.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -3.1 (-8.9) | 138.8 (-2.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -4.0 (-8.0) | 135.3 (+0.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.2 (-8.8) | 135.5 (+0.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -3.2 (-8.8) | 136.3 (-0.3) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | UCLA 66 – 52 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 18-2 |
| Home | 10-5 | 17-0 |
| Away | 7-6 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 60.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#49) | 19.3 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#34) | 2.88 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#37) | 3.57 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#36) | 0.637 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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